How to keep it adequate: A protocol for ensuring validity in agent-based simulation

Published Date
January 31, 2023
Type
Journal Article
How to keep it adequate: A protocol for ensuring validity in agent-based simulation
Authors:
Christian Troost
Robert Huber, Andrew B. Bell, Hedwig van Delden, Tatiana Filatova, Quang Bao Le, Melvin Lippe, Leila Niamir, Gareth Polhill, Zhanli Sun, Thomas Berger

There has so far been no shared understanding of validity in agent-based simulation. We here conceptualise validation as systematically substantiating the premises on which conclusions from simulation analysis for a particular modelling context are built. Given such a systematic perspective, validity of agent-based models cannot be ensured if validation is merely understood as an isolated step in the modelling process. Rather, valid conclusions from simulation analysis require context-adequate method choices at all steps of the simulation analysis including model construction, model and parameter inference, uncertainty analysis and simulation. We present a twelve-step protocol to highlight the (often hidden) premises for methodological choices and their link to the modelling context. It is designed to aid modelers in understanding their context and in choosing and documenting context-adequate and mutually consistent methods throughout the modelling process. Its purpose is to assist reviewers and the community as a whole in assessing and discussing context-adequacy.

Citation:
Troost, C. Huber, R. Bell, A. R. van Delden, H. Filatova, T. Le, Q. B. Lippe, M. Niamir, L. Polhill, J. G. Sun, Z. Berger, T. 2023. How to keep it adequate: A protocol for ensuring validity in agent-based simulation. Environmental Modelling & Software 159, 105559. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105559
Keywords:
calibration model
model validation
model interface
generalization
regime shift
agent-based models